The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 5 be less than 4,000?
Other · resolves Apr 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the "total delays within, into, or out of the united states yesterday" figure on flightaware when it is checked at 12:00 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 — https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.