The market moved
-29.9ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Strait of Hormuz", "Strait", or "Hormuz" this week?
Culture · resolves May 3 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 29.9pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: NATO — https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.