The market moved
+5.5ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $81.67
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 18¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official closing price for the nikkei 225 (ni225) on the final trading day of december 2026, reported in jpy — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.