The market moved
-13.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1475.00 and 1499.99 on December 31 2025?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official wholesale usd to ars exchange rate (tipo de cambio mayorista, ($ por usd) com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com — https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.