The market moved
-2.2ppin 24h · now 17¢
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $9.04
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official wholesale usd to ars exchange rate (tipo de cambio mayorista, ($ por usd) com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com — https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.