The market moved
+27.0ppin 24h · now 78¢
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $590.01
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 78¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 27.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.