The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 3% and 4%?
Macro · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wall street journal — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.