Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be more than 8% and up to 12%?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the percentage of ballots that become inactive during the ranked-choice voting (rcv) process in the 2025 new york city m — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the percentage of ballots that become inactive during the ranked-choice voting (RCV) process in the 2025 New York City M.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.