The market moved
-2.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will The Plague win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?
Sports · resolves Feb 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.filmindependent.org/spirit-awards/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.