The market moved
+42.1ppin 24h · now 43¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 21?
Crypto · resolves Aug 21 · vol $116.07
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 43¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 42.1pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 35.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.