The market moved
+39.4ppin 24h · now 50¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 3?
Crypto · resolves Jul 3 · vol $233.22
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 39.4pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 23.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.