The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 57¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 18?
Crypto · resolves Aug 18 · vol $2.44
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 57¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 46.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.