The market moved
-2.6ppin 24h · now 40¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 7?
Crypto · resolves Jul 7 · vol $981.89
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 40¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.6pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.