The market moved
-0.4ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 15?
Crypto · resolves May 15 · vol $30.68
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 40.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.