The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?
Crypto · resolves May 15 · vol $308.54
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 16¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 38.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.