Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on May 15?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 40.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.