Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 14?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 38¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.5pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 4.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.