The market moved

+0.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 2.0%-3.0%?

Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in georgia fo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Georgia fo.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.