The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 63¢
Will the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat?
Politics · resolves Nov 4 · vol $6.50
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.fec.gov/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.