The market moved

+23.9ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Other · resolves Feb 3 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 23.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the reserve bank of australia monetary policy board’s febru — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s Febru — https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.