The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now

Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?

Other · resolves Aug 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the reserve bank of india monetary policy committee’s august meetin — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meetin — https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.