The market moved
+1.0ppin 24h · now 24¢
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?
Other · resolves Aug 5 · vol $37.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 24¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the reserve bank of india monetary policy committee’s august meetin — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meetin — https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.