The market moved

-3.0ppin 24h · now 68¢

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?

Other · resolves Aug 5 · vol $239.28

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 68¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the reserve bank of india monetary policy committee’s august meetin — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meetin — https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.