The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision?

Other · resolves Sep 2 · vol $45.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the official cash rate (ocr) resulting from the reserve bank of new zealand’s september monetary policy — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy — https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.