The market moved
-0.6ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will The Royal House of the Sultanate of Pagayawan (ROHOSUPA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
Politics · resolves Sep 14 · vol $16.41
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.