The market moved

-0.6ppin 24h · now

Will The Royal House of the Sultanate of Pagayawan (ROHOSUPA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?

Politics · resolves Sep 14 · vol $16.41

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.