The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 33¢

Will the season series between the Bills and Dolphins end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Sports · resolves Jan 12 · vol $155.40

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.