Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: US Government.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.