Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the july 2026 meeting of the south african reserve bank's — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's — https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.