The market moved

-79.5ppin 24h · now

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance for the week of December 1?

Macro · resolves Dec 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 79.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the index that performs best for the week beginning december 1, among the warren buffett index, the bill ackman index — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the index that performs best for the week beginning December 1, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index — https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.