The market moved
+1.0ppin 24h · now 35¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Macro · resolves Dec 31 · vol $1.2K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 35¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on binance (exchange price) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance (exchange price) — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.