Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 50.9pp shift. Resolution depends on youtube.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: youtube.com — https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.