The market moved

+10.3ppin 24h · now 81¢

Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?

Sports · resolves Sep 14 · vol $993.82

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 81¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://theemmys.tv/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.