The market moved

+39.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by March 31?

Politics · resolves Feb 25 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 39.5pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.