Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.2pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20250928/e-id-act.html.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.