The market moved

-12.8ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will the Toronto Blue Jays have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Sports · resolves Oct 11 · vol $72.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.8pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: mlb.com — https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.