The market moved
+0.4ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?
Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $49.95
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much "spider-man: brand new day" box office will gross domestically by august 31, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026 — https://www.the-numbers.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.