The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 27¢

Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be between 18,500,000 and 19,000,000?

Other · resolves May 24 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on tsa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: tsa.gov — https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-0.5pp · Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be between 18,500,000 and 19,000,000? | Orrery