The market moved
+3.0ppin 24h · now 60¢
Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík?
Other · resolves Aug 12 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 60¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on keflavík international airport's (stationid:bikf) observations using the same time hierarchy — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Keflavík International Airport's (stationID:BIKF) observations using the same time hierarchy — https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?network=IS__ASOS&station=BIRK&data=skyc1&year1=2026&month1=8&day1=12&year2=2026&month2=8&day2=12&tz=Etc%2FUTC&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&elev=no&missing=M&trace=T&direct=no&report_type=3&report_type=4.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.