The market moved
-0.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?
Macro · resolves Jan 21 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi) increased by over the 12-month period ending december 2025 (% change) accor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending December 2025 (% change) accor — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.