The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now

Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.7% in November?

Macro · resolves Dec 17 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi) increased by over the 12-month period ending november 2025 (% change) accor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending November 2025 (% change) accor — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.