The market moved

+1.8ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the U.K.'s monthly inflation increase by ≤0.1% in November?

Macro · resolves Dec 17 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi) increased in november 2025 (% change) according to the monthly ons report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased in November 2025 (% change) according to the monthly ONS report — https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.