The market moved

-36.4ppin 24h · now

Will the U.K.'s September–November 2025 unemployment rate be 5.2%?

Macro · resolves Jan 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) reported by the office for national statistics (ons) in the labo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the Labo — https://www.ons.gov.uk/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.