The market moved
-4.1ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the U.K.'s September–November 2025 unemployment rate be 5.3%?
Macro · resolves Jan 20 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) reported by the office for national statistics (ons) in the labo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the Labo — https://www.ons.gov.uk/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.