The market moved

+37.6ppin 24h · now 97¢

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 27 be between 86 and 89?

Other · resolves Jul 17 · vol $308.05

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 97¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 37.6pp shift. Resolution depends on to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the united states, as reported fo — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported fo — https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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