The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now

Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be greater than 0.1?

Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $164.99

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the united states, as reported by cdc — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC — https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.