The market moved
+11.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be greater than 0.1?
Other · resolves Aug 7 · vol $58.50
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the united states, as reported by cdc — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC — https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 44.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.