The market moved
-16.5ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will the US add at least 150k jobs in August?
Other · resolves Sep 5 · vol $125.54
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bls — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: BLS — https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.