The market moved

-34.4ppin 24h · now

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?

Other · resolves May 2 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 34.4pp shift. Resolution depends on bls — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: BLS — https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.