The market moved

-3.9ppin 24h · now

Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in August?

Other · resolves Sep 5 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.9pp shift. Resolution depends on bls — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: BLS — https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.