The market moved

+0.8ppin 24h · now

Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?

Culture · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.